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Why would they make themselves vulnerable to any authority looking to investigate the fixing of sporting events by becoming even more vulnerable to criminal prosecution?
The offer of information on fixed matches in exchange for money is already a scam, to put it bluntly. Those people who are perpetrating the scam have no knowledge neither posses any such inside information.
You may have come across on Facebook accounts like the one displayed below that are promoting tips for fixed matches.
They spread the word to a third of their respondents that the home team is going to win. But to another third, they give information that the away team is going to win.
And the last third has the info that the game will end in a draw. The thirds of the respondents will naturally lose and will be obviously feeling cheated by the scammers, but one third will win with the other bet tip and now will believe that the scammers may really have some inside knowledge about fixed football matches.
So a week later another email has been sent by the scammers to the respondents who won on the previous fixed game tip. But this time for the information the scammers double the price for the fixed game.
The respondents feeling confident and flush with cash are happy to pay double in exchange for the info that appears to be another sure winning bet.
The dividing of the respondents happens again at this point, the well known a third for the home team, a third for the away team and a third for a draw.
And now again we have the two thirds that feel cheated as they lose their bets but remember now there is a group that has won two consecutive bets, and now are totally bought into the scam and truly believe that they are getting an inside information on fixed football games.
Another week passes and the chain of emails is just growing but now with ten times the price for the inside information.
Those respondents with the previous happy results are super confident and they believe that this is a guaranteed winner. So this process continues week after week with the scammers raking in the money for this kind of fraudulent information, while every respondent will eventually lose and in some cases, the losses can be quite considerable.
There is no doubt that match-fixing does occur with having said all of that. In sports such as basketball, tennis, cricket, and football, of course, it has been exposed and reported on a number occasions.
But if sporting events are fixed from time to time, how can we identify them? Betting odds are typically a reflection of the money that is being bet on a certain outcome.
If Chelsea, for example, is listed at odds of 2. So the next question is how can all this help us spot a fixed game? If we already know that the betting odds are a reflection of demand and supply, then match odds should be an accurate reflection of the true likelihood of an outcome occurring.
A result has been fixed when the demand of the odds for a certain outcome becomes so great that it distorts the market, and then there is a good chance.
So if in the hours that lead up to a particular football the odds for a draw drop it is likely because there has been a large amount of money betting on the draw.
Sometimes a slight drop in odds for a drawn result may be innocent enough because perhaps the weather forecast has changed, or the results of the other matches have diminished the need of one team that is competing to get a victory.
This can be most seeable at the end of the Serie A season, where the odds for draw results are quite irregular, by often being listed as shorter than even money.
With clubs assisting one another with mutually beneficial results at the end of the season matches, as we all know that is a tradition of sorts in Serie A football.
But there are situations as a sudden drop in the odds for a drawn result does not necessarily mean the match has been fixed in the pure sense of the term, or that there has been some kind of agreement between the teams that are competing to ensure a desirable result for each.